The Investment Case for Ethereum

11 May 2021

Investment Case for Ethereum

While many other cryptocurrencies can, as an analogy, be seen as a tank full of gas, that is worth – well the value of the gas in it, there is nothing to power with that gas. Ether is part of the Ethereum network, and it is the gas tank powering its blockchain. Ethereum is not the only network like this, but arguably the best known and best developed one.

As many businesses already see the value of using blockchain technology, some, like e.g. DocuSign, are already basing their development on the Ethereum blockchain. To execute a transaction on the blockchain, you're charged a fee in Ether.

As it is expected that more and more real-world applications are powered by the Ethereum blockchain, there could likely be an increasing demand for Ether, which could potentially keep increasing the value of the cryptocurrency.

Performance and Growth Potential

The performance of Ether has been strong against main indices over the past two year periods, providing a new source of potential returns. However, these impressive growth numbers come at a cost of high volatility meaning investors could lose a significant portion of their allocation if they bought in at the wrong time. Analysts expect the volatility of certain cryptocurrencies to reduce as the market becomes more regulated and further institutionalised. 

 

1 month

3 months

1 year

2 years

Ether

22.1%

107.2%

475.5%

468.3%

Bitcoin

49.6%

170.8%

305.1%

689.2%

S&P 500

3.7%

11.7%

16.3%

49.8%

US Bonds

0.5%

0.9%

5.9%

15.5%

Gold

5.7%

-1.0%

20.2%

41.8%

Oil

2.7%

5.3%

3.8%

13.8%

FTSE 100

3.1%

10.1%

-14.3%

-4.0%

Eurostoxx

1.7%

11.2%

-5.1%

18.4%

 

Source: Bloomberg. All data as of 01.03.2021 Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns.

Correlation and Diversification:

One argument for an Ether allocation is its low correlation to other widely held asset classes both in periods of market calm and turbulence.

S&P 500

US Bonds

Ether

Gold

Oil

EM
ccy

FTSE
100

Euro
stoxx

EUR/
USD

GBP/
USD

S&P 500

-

0.78

0.34

0.74

0.83

0.83

-0.27

0.42

0.32

0.25

US Bonds

0.78

-

0.05

0.94

0.86

0.85

-0.64

0.00

-0.07

-0.23

Ether

0.34

0.05

-

0.22

0.07

0.22

0.01

0.23

0.78

0.58

Gold

0.74

0.94

0.22

-

0.79

0.78

-0.75

-0.13

0.12

-0.12

Oil

0.83

0.86

0.07

0.79

-

0.81

-0.47

0.17

0.08

-0.06

EM ccy

0.83

0.85

0.22

0.78

0.81

-

-0.32

0.34

0.11

0.11

FTSE 100

-0.27

-0.64

0.01

-0.75

-0.47

-0.32

-

0.71

-0.05

0.30

Eurostoxx

0.42

0.00

0.23

-0.13

0.17

0.34

0.71

-

0.11

0.45

EUR/USD

0.32

-0.07

0.78

0.12

0.08

0.11

-0.05

0.11

-

0.71

GBP/USD

0.25

-0.23

0.58

-0.12

-0.06

0.11

0.30

0.45

0.71

-

 

Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 01.03.2021  

 

Summary

Benefits of Ethereum:

  • High growth potential vs traditional asset classes;      
  • Low correlation to other asset classes and diversification;        
  • Potential for improved risk-adjusted returns in a multi-asset portfolio.

 

Risks of Ethereum

  • Ether can be very volatile       
  • The price of Ether can go down as well as up and your capital is at risk

 

Introducing ETHetc: ETC Group Physical Ethereum - Primary Ticker: ZETH

ETHetc - Physical Ethereum ETC (ZETH) is an exchange traded cryptocurrency (ETC) that tracks the price of Ethereum.  The ETC is 100% physically backed by Ethereum and its primary listing is on Deutsche Börse’s electronic trading system XETRA. The product is central counterparty cleared (CCP), providing investors with a transparent, safe, and liquid way to gain exposure to the price of Ethereum. Each unit of ZETH gives the holder a claim on a predefined amount of Ethereum. 

An Easier Way to Invest in Ethereum

Investing in ETHetc - ETC Group Physical Ethereum (ZETH) is as simple as buying shares through your broker or bank.  Unlike investing directly in Ethereum, there is no need to engage with the technical challenges of setting up a cryptocurrency wallet to store Ethereum. Your units of ZETH are safely held with your broker or bank, thus removing the risk of losing your investment due to a lack of knowledge of e.g. how cryptographic keys work.

Central Counterparty Cleared on Deutsche Börse XETRA

Clearing through the Deutsche Börse CCP system reduces the counterparty risk market participants are exposed to and provides anonymity. Using a CCP also reduces risks related to late settlement or legal disputes if one party breaches the contract.

Invest in Ethereum on a Regulated Exchange

ZETH is traded on XETRA, one of the largest exchanges in Europe. As Deutsche Börse is a regulated exchange, this means that investors can trade with confidence knowing that all market participants are strictly vetted and carefully monitored to prevent market abuse. The alternative is to buy bitcoin on cryptocurrency exchanges, most of which are unregulated or do not have as strict security and compliance standards.

Ample Liquidity

The issuer has partnered with world-class liquidity providers and authorised participants (APs) to ensure ample liquidity, resulting in tight spreads on-exchange and the ability to create or redeem units of ZETH on the primary market. ETC Group’s preceding product, the BTCetc (Ticker: BTCE) has strongly benefitted from the solid network of liquidity providers set up by the issuer for its products, making it one of the most liquid products on the Deutsche Börse XETRA exchange in recent months[1].

Physical Redemption

Investors have the option to redeem their units of ZETH directly for Ethereum. As an additional layer of protection for investors, every transaction must be confirmed by the issuer and a reputable third-party administrator to ensure that no Ethereum can be misappropriated due to misconduct or negligence on behalf of the issuer.

Safe Custody

The issuer stores the Ethereum backing all units of ZETH in circulation with BitGo Trust Company, a secure, regulated custodian, purpose-built for holding digital assets. Strict KYC and AML standards ensure that the provenance of all cryptocurrency in custody has been vetted.

Advantages of the ETHetc (ZETH):

  • Ethereum exposure simplified: exchange-listed, regulated and secure;        
  • Buying and selling the Ethereum ETC is as simple as trading any normal share;        
  • You can trade through your regulated broker, on regulated exchanges with a central clearing mechanism;        
  • You don’t need to manage a crypto wallet or trade on unregulated crypto exchanges;        
  • You don’t need to manage cryptographic keys or blockchain technology.

 

Risks of Trading ETHetc - ETC Group Physical Ethereum

  • Cryptocurrencies like Ethereum can be highly volatile.        
  • Like equities, an investor’s capital is fully at risk and you may not get back the amount originally invested        
  • Exchange rate fluctuations can also have both a positive and negative effect on returns        
  • Past performance of a product is no guarantee of future performance        
  • The product may not be a suitable investment for all investors and each investor should determine the suitability of its investment in light of their own circumstances       
  • For a full, list of risks associated with the Ethereum ETC product, please consult the prospectus.

 

Ethereum Trading vs ETHetc - ETC Group Physical Ethereum

Here’s how ZETH provides a safer, easier and more familiar experience for investors:

Feature

Ethereum trading on a crypto exchange

ETHetc (ZETH) on XETRA

Accessibility

Buying Ethereum may require the investor to set up an account with a so-called ‘cryptocurrency exchange’, which can be a lengthy and time-consuming process.

 

Such ‘exchanges’ are mostly unregulated entities and investors face increased risk of money laundering and market manipulation. Money laundering is not really a risk to the investor, market manipulation definitely can be.

the Ethereum ETC can be purchased on Deutsche Börse (XETRA), one of the largest stock exchanges in Europe in terms of both market capitalization and monthly trading volume. Virtually every broker in the world should have the ability to buy products traded on XETRA for its clients.

Technical and Complex

Setting up a cryptocurrency wallet isn’t easy and preventing theft or loss of value due to other reasons (e.g. losing the keys) even harder. Blockchain wallets are not like credit cards or bank accounts, users of Ethereum can’t chargeback fraudulent transactions or show up with their ID at the bank desk to recover access – what is lost is usually lost forever.

ZETH keeps Ethereum backing the product at a reputable, safe, regulated and insured depositary called BitGo Trust Company. Deposits are insured by Lloyds of London against hacking and white-collar crime up to the value of $100 million. BitGo is a regulated trust and all cryptocurrency is stored air-gapped in cold storage in their vaults.

Liquidity Concerns

Investors interested in purchasing big volumes of Ethereum face access problems described above multiplied by the number of ‘cryptocurrency exchanges’ they need to connect to in order to tap into an acceptably big pool of liquidity.

Secondly, IT systems of many ‘cryptocurrency exchanges’ are technologically inferior to the systems operated by established stock exchanges, and this fact makes top-notch liquidity provision very difficult or even impossible.

 

Finally, not every professional market-maker is participating on ‘cryptocurrency exchanges. Market-makers face the same technical, access, legal and regulatory challenges and issues alongside with investors. For that reason, some market-makers are willing to provide liquidity only on regulated stock exchanges.

ZETH shares many benefits with traditional ETFs/ETPs – as it is exchange listed and supported by an ecosystem of market makers and Aps, there is guaranteed two-way pricing available throughout the trading day. The product team behind ZETH have contracted multiple professional market-makers to translate fragmented bitcoin liquidity into concentrated on-Exchange ZETH liquidity. Through direct connection to the underlying asset via the create /redeem mechanism, ZETH can provide liquidity for both very large and very small trades, levelling the playing field between investors.

Legal Restrictions

Some investors might not be allowed to buy or hold Ethereum, due to restrictions imposed by the regulator or investment mandate.

ZETH was approved for trading on the regulated market. but there are countries and jurisdictions where ZETH is not available and where regulation may differ. It is advised to check with your broker or bank on these questions.

Regulatory Capital Restrictions

Ethereum holdings might not qualify to be accepted as part of capital required by the regulator for various reasons.

ZETH is a security and is traded on Deutsche Börse (XETRA). It is much easier to qualify holdings of ZETH as regulatory capital than holdings of Ethereum.

Money Laundering Concerns

Ethereum is a relatively new asset class, and it is difficult (but not impossible) to conduct due diligence and establish sources of funds. It is challenging for investors willing to invest in Ethereum to establish with the necessary certainty that the Ethereum they are buying is not proceeds of crime.

Only Ethereum screened with market leading chain analysis too makes it into custody backing the issued instruments. ZETH is a fully fungible product (which ensures superior liquidity), but investors wishing to create units of ZETH in exchange for Ethereum (instead of purchasing it on regulated exchange) have either to be a regulated Authorised Participant (“AP”) themselves or have such AP represent them as an agent. APs are licensed and regulated financial intermediaries, and as such are under very strict anti-money-laundering obligations. This means that investors buying ZETH securities can be sure that any Ethereum they are getting exposure to (and which they can receive should they want to do so due to fungibility of the product) is clean.

Settlement & Post Trade Risk

Parties buying Ethereum are exposed to counterparty (settlement) and post-trade price risks. Your counterparty can go insolvent after receiving the investor’s part of the settlement (e.g. A ‘cryptocurrency exchange’ going out of business while the investor has cash of bitcoin deposit with it) or it may not honour the favourable price of a trade.

ZETH is a security, which is eligible for central counterparty clearing by Eurex Clearing. You can settle trades in ZETH using the Delivery-versus-Payment mechanism of Clearstream system, which effectively eliminates any counterparty risk. Investors can also use well-established business-processes for securities lending or using ZETH as collateral in order to facilitate, streamline and considerably de-risk any lending operations involving bitcoin.

 

Trading Information

 

 

Visit the ETHetc- ETC Group Physical Ethereum Fund Page

 

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