- M&A
activity in the Cloud technology sector is set to increase exponentially
- While
the US is the most established across Cloud, Europe and developing nations are
where much of the future growth is expected
- Large
scale Cloud adoption across the public sector (governments, schools, hospitals
and NGOs) is a key driver of the Cloud Technology market, providing growing
recurring revenues for key players controlling Cloud pipelines
- Longer
term, multi-cloud players will become even more important players as data is shared
across various platforms Amazon’s cloud-based unit, Adobe, Kingsoft and Nvidia
are identified as particularly attractive stocks
4th November 2020, London
Anthony
Ginsberg, Co-Creator of HAN-GINs
Cloud Technology UCITS ETF (SKYY), which is a
cloud computing ETF, expects growth in the
sector to accelerate and predicts more M&A corporate activity in the cloud
space, particularly amongst cloud security firms.
Anthony Ginsberg,
Co-creator of HAN-GINs Cloud Technology
ETF (SKYY) said:
“Due
to COVID-19, cloud technology is increasingly embedded into mainstream
work-life activities – from digital entertainment/streaming services to video
conferencing, social media and remote learning. We expect global cloud spending to hit a new all-time
high for the 3rd quarter – as cloud spending globally continues to gain
momentum. As Work From Home (WFH)
behaviours become ingrained amongst tech savvy workers – pre Pandemic work
rules are unlikely to revert. Cloud now
drives the Internet of Things, from Social Media and Digital Entertainment to
Healthcare Innovation (trackers and telemedicine), Future Cars, Cyber Security
and AI-Robotics. Many of the larger
Cloud players are vertically integrated – offering a variety of cloud services
form software to infrastructure and security too.
While
the US is the most built-out across Cloud, Europe and developing nations are
where much of the future growth is expected. Larger cloud players currently
have a distinct advantage over smaller Cloud players given their existing
global reach. Many cloud themed ETFs focus on US companies, whereas our cloud computing ETF has global
holdings.
“Given
the flexibility cloud subscription services affords users and the significant
cost savings - versus maintaining onsite hardware – IT budgets are increasingly
shifting away from hardware to Cloud. We also expect global cloud spending to
hit a new all-time high for the 3rd quarter – as cloud spending globally
continues to gain momentum.”
“The large Cloud Infrastructure players will be unable
to make huge ground-breaking deals due to the US Election and anti-trust
concerns. We expect smaller add-on
acquisitions by the Megacap players whose record share prices provide them with
a relatively low-cost, cheap currency.”
The HAN-GINS Cloud Technology UCITS ETF, is a UCITS
compliant cloud computing ETF domiciled in Ireland. It tracks the Solactive
Cloud Technology Index, which was specifically developed for this cloud computing ETF. The index seeks to provide
exposure to companies active in the field of Cloud computing, such as service
providers or producers of equipment or software focused on Cloud computing. The HAN-GINs Cloud Technology UCITS ETF (SKYY) delivered a
return of 21.49% over the past 12 months[1].
Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.
SKYY holdings: Year to date: 1ST
January 2020 to 30 September 2020
Top 10 holdings in SKYY (by performance) |
(%) average weight |
Total return (%) |
Contribution to return (%) |
NVIDA CORP |
4.92 |
130.33 |
4.63 |
KINGSOFT CORP LTD |
0.48 |
94.03 |
0.30 |
ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS- A |
1.32 |
80.60 |
3.10 |
AMAZON.COM INC |
4.63 |
70.40 |
3.06 |
APPLE INC |
4.40 |
58.84 |
2.30 |
SALESFORCE/COM INC |
4.25 |
54.53 |
1.92 |
ADOBE INC |
4.29 |
48.70 |
1.89 |
PARETEUM CORP |
0 |
43.17 |
0.02 |
INSEEGO CORP |
0.24 |
40.79 |
0.12 |
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR |
4.11 |
38.60 |
1.52 |
Past performance is no guarantee of future performance.
Source:
Solactive data (30 September 2020)
Below are five key
stocks held by SKYY, which Anthony and his team have identified as particularly
interesting for investors now, and why they think this. The opinions in this email
and reports are of the authors and must not be relied upon as investment advice.
Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. When you trade ETFs
your capital is at risk.
Amazon’s cloud-based unit: Amazon Web Services
AWS now dominates the global Cloud infrastructure
market with an approximate 30% market share.
It is the primary Cloud host for most global enterprises – with a huge
lead over the likes of Microsoft’s Cloud service Azure and Google Cloud. AWS' revenues rose 31% year-over-year to $21
billion, or 13% of Amazon's total revenue, in the first half of 2020. More importantly AWS’s profits now represent
close to 65% of Amazon's total operating profit. Its profits are now significantly subsidizing
Amazon’s Prime and other lower-margin e-commerce businesses[2].
Salesforce
It now owns and operates the world's largest
cloud-based CRM (customer relationship management) software platform. It
primarily services private and public enterprises. It controls almost 20% of the market,
compared to its European rival SAP which holds a small 5.3% share[3].Salesforce
also now offers various cloud-based e-commerce, marketing, and analytics
services. Currently these services help over 150,000 companies to streamline and
automate certain tasks, reducing overall dependence on human employees.
Its revenues significantly beat expectations recently
– rising 30% year-over-year to $10 billion in the first half of 2020. It showed just how strongly it has benefited
from the lockdown and is seen as one of the largest beneficiaries of the new ‘Working
From Home’ phenomenon and change in office behavior. It is benefiting from the acceleration of
cloud-based CRM, marketing, and e-commerce solutions[4].
Adobe
Over the past few years using a subscription model
online, Adobe has transformed its desktop-based design software into a highly
successful subscription-based cloud service. It has subsequently expanded its
offering with analytics, advertising, and e-commerce services.
Adobe's revenues gained 15% year-over-year to $9.4
billion for the first nine months of 2020[5]. It has successfully transformed itself into a
cloud company.
Kingsoft
This company is a leading Cloud service provider based
in China. Kingsoft operates
energy-saving data centers and has branches in the United States, Russia,
Singapore and China. It plans to expand
its India user-base by 40 million by the end of 2020. It already has over 23 million monthly active
users in India – thus is its largest market outside of China. They have a total of 80 million worldwide
users[6]. Kingsoft has four subsidiaries: Seasun for
video game development, Cheetah Mobile for mobile internet apps, Kingsoft Cloud
for cloud storage platforms, and WPS for office software. The company is listed on the Hong Kong stock
market.
Nvidia
The company provides groundbreaking computer
automation – from advanced computer graphics processors/cards to lasers used by
the likes of TESLA. As online gaming
expands rapidly due to the lockdowns – demand for its graphics cards has
exploded. The company just acquired a
leading AI manufacturer based in Cambridge UK called ARM. The $40bn acquisition of ARM makes Nvidia a
leader in the use of AI and smartphone technology[7].
We see this as a critical smartphone deal,
transforming Nvidia into a dominant force in the market for smartphones. It’s also a big supplier of technology for a
range of other devices - from smart speakers to fitness trackers. Nvidia is a fast-growing tech player best
known for making the graphics chips that power videogames for the wildly
popular Nintendo Switch. The chips have been in hot demand during the
pandemic/lockdown. Nvidia’s chips are
also used in big data centers - increasingly in demand as remote work has taken
off. It has become the workhorse of
artificial-intelligence calculations too - that have grown as more businesses
embrace automation. Nvidia generated record sales in the 2nd quarter - its shares
have doubled in 2020. With a market capitalization of ~$300bn, Nvidia is now
the most valuable U.S. semiconductor company, overtaking Intel Corp., (whose
stock has slumped amid production missteps)[8].